Men’s Draw and Predictions for 2017 U.S. Open

by John on August 27, 2017

If the U.S. Open Men’s Draw, getting underway tomorrow, were a ship it would capsize. Way too top-heavy and top-heavy tips the boat. No. 2 seed Andy Murray’s late withdrawal yesterday only added to the disproportionate weight of the top half of the draw and axed any possibility of an enticing Rafael Nadal-Roger Federer final in a revised draw. Shame on Murray for vacillating. The Grand Slam weight ratio of the top half to bottom half is now 35-1. It was a still ridiculous 35-4 yesterday. That’s what can happen when the vagaries of chance take over. That and the fact five of the top 11 ranked men are missing in action due to a variety of injuries. On the bright side it certainly opens the possibility of a surprise finalist from the bottom 64. A look at the draw with some bold predictions. Recently anointed No. 1, Nadal heads Quarter One. The Spaniard is not a sure thing to get out this section, since his play has fallen off since a superb clay-court season, culminating in his 10th French Open title. Nadal has lost before the semifinals in three straight hard-court tournaments since Paris. His first real test could come in the fourth round where he might meet always troublesome Fabio Fognini or Tomas Berdych. Most likely awaiting a quarterfinal clash with the Spaniard looks to be Grigor Dimitrov, who won at Cincinnati a week ago and is on fire of late. The Bulgarian should advance to the semifinals. Federer tops Quarter Two and faces a tough competitor in 19-year-old American Frances Tiafoe in his opening round match Tuesday night. If all goes as projected, Federer would meet Feliciano Lopez in the third round and the enigmatic Aussie Nick Kyrgios in the fourth. Assuming Kyrgios has his head screwed on right, Fed could be in trouble. At the bottom of the quarter is Dominic Thiem, who should cruise to a quarterfinal battle with Kyrgios. Thiem moves on to the semifinals. In the bottom half of the draw things could get quite interesting. German Alexander Zverev, just 20-years old, has been the hottest player of the summer and is top dog in Quarter Three. Zverev, winner of five titles this year, including two Masters crowns, should get past potential opponents Kevin Anderson, and Gilles Muller or Jack Sock to battle Americans Sam Querrey or John Isner for a semifinal berth. Zverev accomplishes the task. Quarter Four, originally Murray’s section, is now headed by Marin Cilic, who took the Scots position in the draw. Cilic had been the second banana in Quarter Three before Murray’s withdrawal. The Croatian, winner of the 2014 U.S. Open, looks to redeem himself from a disappointing performance in this year’s Wimbledon final. Cilic, if he’s fully recovered from an adductor injury this summer, should reach the quarterfinal match of this section. Who he plays is a real mystery. Possible opponents could be Jo.Wifried Tsonga, Denis Shapovolov, Steve Johnson, Albert Ramos-Vinolas or Pablo Carreno Busta. Take your pick. Whoever it is, Cilic goes to the semis. So the semifinal matchups look to be Dimitrov versus Thiem and Zverev against Cilic. It’s a wacky year, so anything is possible.

{ 2 comments… read them below or add one }

fff01 November 9, 2017 at 1:59 pm

Hi, waiting for your ATP Finals predictions. Federer – Nadal final? or Nadal will not make it with his knee problems.

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John November 10, 2017 at 7:07 am

Will post tomorrow.

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